01/09/22
Tanzania and Australia - an umbilical cord? What could be a stranger notion? After all Australia is pretty much as far as you can get from Tanzania with Sydney roughly 11,600km from Dar es Salaam, and Mwanza from Perth (the respective mining capitals) not much closer at 9,200km. Indeed, given this distance it is an unfamiliar country to most Tanzanians - other than that occasional annoying confusion when abroad if mentioning Tanzania and people respond “Oh, the place near to Australia” - confusing the name with “Tasmania”!
But despite the distance there is an umbilical cord - represented by the role that Australian companies play in nurturing infant mining projects whilst “in the womb” (through the exploration stage) up to “birth” (development and commencement of production). Today in Perth sees the start of the first post Covid in person “Africa Down Under” (ADU) conference, which runs for two and half days with eleven sessions, each focussed on one or two African countries - with presentations from a Minister from the respective country and / or Australian mining companies operating in that country. Tanzania is one of the focus countries alongside Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Gabon, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, South Africa, Sudan, Uganda, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
Australian companies operating in Tanzania scheduled to present at ADU include Walkabout Resources, Black Rock Mining, Evolution Energy Minerals, Adavale Resources, Peak Rare Earths. Their common focus is minerals critical to the green energy revolution, and recent investor presentations (including from the recent Mining Indaba in Cape Town) available on their websites highlight Tanzania’s potential.
Graphite is the focus for Walkabout (Lindi Jumbo project) and Blackrock (Mahenge project), with first production for these projects targeted for Q3 2022 and Q4 2023 respectively, as well as Evolution Energy Minerals (Chilalo project). Other Australian companies with Tanzanian graphite projects include Ecograph (Epanko project), Magnis Energy (Nachu project) and Volt Resources (Bunyu project). The spur for these projects is a global graphite market estimated to be USD26.8bn by 2025, and with demand for graphite forecast to grow by more than 500% by 2035 as compared to 2020 reflecting unprecedented demand driven predominantly by the energy storage and the electrical vehicle sectors.
Nickel and cobalt, as well as copper, are expected to be produced by the Kabanga nickel project, the world’s largest development-ready nickel sulphide deposit, which also has significant Australian involvement following the January 2022 announcement of the entry of BHP Group Limited into the project to join Kabanga Nickel Limited. Measured by market capitalisation, BHP is the largest company in Australia, and the largest mining company in the world. The project development timeline set out in a January 2022 press release anticipated first production in 2025.
As the electric vehicle (EV) market grows to replace the use of fossil fuels, the requirement for battery minerals is expected to increase significantly to meet this additional demand, and nickel and cobalt are two of the key elements in lithium-ion batteries; in addition, copper demand is also expected to see demand grow in line with greater electrification. Nickel is also the focus of Adavale Resources’ nickel project, which is adjacent to the Kabanga nickel project, and presumably hence the name “Kabanga Jirani” project.
Rare earths are key elements used in a range of emerging green technologies, with NdPr Oxide which is a critical component of the permanent magnets used in electric vehicles and drive wind turbines, and hence the excitement in relation to Peak Rare Earths Ngualla project. A November 2021 presentation anticipated commencement of construction by the end of December 2022 and completion by December 2024. Another potential rare earths project is Vital Metals’ Wigu Hill project.
To date, gold has been the focus of large scale mining production - and Australia has had a significant role to play for this sector also (for example, the mines at North Mara (originally an Australian investment) and Golden Pride (Nzega)) but also in terms of specialist subcontractor support (to support drilling, mine development etc). Nyanzaga, Tanzania’s next large scale gold mine will also be developed by an Australian investor, namely Orecorp Limited. Interestingly, although the two countries are geographically far apart, the geology and mineralization styles of gold deposits of their “greenstone belts” are very much alike suggesting that the processes leading to the formation of giant ore systems must be similar.
So in a nutshell, Australian capital and expertise will be driving a lot of the new growth in Tanzania’s mining sector - an umbilical cord, so to speak, that will nurture this sector; and which surely will be coloured green and gold, colours of great symbolic nature to both countries: for Australia, its sporting colours and the national anthem refrain (“in the land of the green and the gold”), and for Tanzania two of the colours in the national flag and also a sporting connection (the colours of Yanga (Young Africans) football club!). In the context of minerals the green and gold reference is also an appropriate description given the new focus on green energy minerals on top of the existing gold activity. So here’s to the green and gold …umbilical cord!
By David Tarimo is a Country Senior Partner with PwC Tanzania